Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.030144 0.032526 0.035020 0.037828 0.040908 0.044186 0.047945
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.026294 0.029702 0.033469 0.037956 0.043173 0.049070 0.056272
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.023278 0.027198 0.031708 0.037310 0.044124 0.052195 0.062555
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.021190 0.025437 0.030484 0.036973 0.045164 0.055253 0.068765
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.019513 0.023961 0.029393 0.036583 0.045954 0.057894 0.074493
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.017928 0.022441 0.028082 0.035737 0.045993 0.059456 0.078796
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.017077 0.021771 0.027767 0.036105 0.047578 0.063082 0.086092
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.016177 0.020959 0.027191 0.036044 0.048525 0.065842 0.092321
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015570 0.020487 0.027017 0.036490 0.050162 0.069630 0.100291
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014750 0.019670 0.026312 0.036125 0.050584 0.071652 0.105721
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014076 0.019012 0.025780 0.035956 0.051251 0.074039 0.111854
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013425 0.018348 0.025197 0.035661 0.051688 0.076072 0.117543
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012945 0.017907 0.024914 0.035803 0.052808 0.079255 0.125417
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012319 0.017225 0.024243 0.035315 0.052909 0.080818 0.130692
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011677 0.016485 0.023449 0.034586 0.052569 0.081624 0.134694
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011186 0.015948 0.022928 0.034247 0.052824 0.083406 0.140539
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010725 0.015432 0.022413 0.033884 0.053005 0.085056 0.146256
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010194 0.014788 0.021670 0.033110 0.052444 0.085376 0.149498
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009964 0.014594 0.021613 0.033445 0.053776 0.089080 0.159472
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009657 0.014267 0.021331 0.033389 0.054421 0.091590 0.167326
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009472 0.014121 0.021328 0.033797 0.055895 0.095695 0.178728
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.009137 0.013725 0.020904 0.033463 0.056021 0.097296 0.185131
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008859 0.013408 0.020595 0.033309 0.056456 0.099499 0.192982